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Only time will tell what lies in store for US-Russian relations.Ĭybersecurity is a whole new front that we need to take into consideration, particularly during these COVID times. The relationship that the US and Russia have is clearly filled with nuances and difficulties. So again, a difficult relationship,” explains McLaughlin. “Now, what do we want? What’s our desired end point with Russia? I think I’m reading Biden’s meetings with him as saying our desired end point is not a friendship or partnership, but it’s kind of clarity in where we stand and where they stand and cooperation when it’s important…certainly we can cooperate with the Russians on climate change, on terrorism and so forth, but just be aware they know what they want and what they want is not what we want. Why else is he in Libya, Africa, and Syria,” responds McLaughlin. In other words, adding to the international pressure to just cool it,” says McLaughlin.īut alongside China, does Russia pose a major threat to the United States? Given the recent electoral fraud issues that stem back to Russian hackers, should we be worried about the US’s cybersecurity front? What is Putin trying to get at? “ Putin wants three things: he wants control at home, wants to heavily influence his neighbors, wants to weaken the Western Alliance and as a fourth thing, he wants to be seen as a great power on the global stage. I was encouraged just this week to see that the European Union is now open to the idea of sending messages to China about being careful with Taiwan. “You’ve got to have deterrence and deterrence in this case is complicated…Deterrence involves mainly using alliances as force multipliers and messaging. But China is the next big adversary that the world needs to prepare for, and countries are already doing it. China is not the former Soviet Union, nor will it ever be. It’s clear that China does not fit into the Cold War metaphor.
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Maybe someone does, but you know, I don’t think anyone actually wants a war with China,” continues McLaughlin. “ China will be, if there’s no great discontinuity, the world’s largest economic power within a number of years, maybe already is, in terms of purchasing power. Let me just leave it at that on the Cold War metaphor, ” comments McLaughlin. Going back to my first point, this was the time when we fought someone to the end. And he’s striking themes that I’ve struck in print as well. “ Joe Nye of Harvard just wrote a long and impressive op-ed making that point that the Cold War is the wrong metaphor. How similar are they to the original Cold War?” asks Altamar’s Peter Schechter. “There have been these articles about this ‘New Cold War’. If the two most powerful, wealthiest nations in the world do not have a working partnership of some sort, along with their adversarial dimension, all of these things are just going to fester and continue to be a problem ,”answers McLaughlin.Ĭlearly the strained relationship between the US and China is a key determinant in what lies in store for the future of world peace. Because that ripples across all of these other issues: dealing with Iran, dealing with North Korea, dealing with climate change, dealing with the pandemic. With all the security threats that the world faces, what is the top security risk that the United States faces in the coming decade? “ When I think about the most serious problem, I would say it really is getting relationship with China right. McLaughlin is the recipient of several awards from the intelligence community, has been a visiting professor and is a member of multiple advisory groups worldwide. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) of the Johns Hopkins University. He has held multiple top-level posts in the CIA for over thirty years, focusing on multiple regions including Europe, Russia, and Eurasia. This week, John McLaughlin, former Deputy Director and Acting Director of the CIA, joins Altamar to dissect the expanding number of security challenges the US faces over the next decade. McLaughlin is a Distinguished Practitioner in Residence in the Merrill Center for Strategic Studies at the Paul H. National security is more complex than ever before as the world’s list of problems continues to grow. We explore some of the security risks of the next decade.
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Add climate change, huge migratory movements, and deep societal polarization into the mix and you get a world permeated with instability. Growing tensions with China, Russian cyberattacks, threats from North Korea and Iran, the Afghanistan fiasco – the list goes on. Guest: John McLaughlin, former Deputy Director and Acting Director of the Central Intelligence Agency